Category: Blog
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Morning Economic Report 3/13/25
Wall St handed over steadily to APAC after better-than-expected US CPI, but fortunes have been mixed and investor uncertainty reigns. Economic commentators once again concentrate on tariffs. Trump frightens them by aggressive talk on taking back wealth from other countries. Canada and the EU line up retaliatory measures against the metals tariffs as Brazil considers…
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NFP Trading scenarios
NFP TRADING SCENARIOS: Goldman Sachs NFP trading scenarios outline that if the headline prints below 50k, the SPX would fall around 2.5%; if the headline is between 50-100k, the SPX would fall around 1%; if the headline is between 100-150k, the SPX could lose around 0.75%; anything between 150-200k could see the SPX gain by…
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Option Strategies for AliBaba earnings and beyond
The Alibaba Group has been on a bit of a rip as of late and with the earnings out tomorrow there’s at least a good chance of some movement. Since the DeepSeek news it has been on a roll, But when you take a little step back you can see that its rally may still…
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Morning Economic Report 2/19/25
Markets around the globe make little headway. Trump warns on not only 25% tariff for autos but now on pharma and semiconductors by Apr 2. Japan’s exports and machine orders were a touch disappointing. New Zealand RBNZ cuts by 50bps as expected, predicts futures cuts will be in 25bps increments. China bourses still enjoying strength…
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Morning Economic Report 2/6/25 (Updated)
The lack of further tariff news, the partial walking back by officials of Trumps Gaza outburst and better risk profile in tech gives Wall St a bid into APAC and European bourses continue in highs. Even though China starts WTO complaint process, it has little effect. Markets mull the increased ADP employment data but decreased…
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Morning Economic Update
Global bourses tumble on US tariff news. Indices in South Korea, Australia finished down 2%, HNGS -1%, NIKK -3% before futures see some recovery. Europeans are broadly -1.5% and US futures between -1.5-2.5%. Trump continues antagonistic rhetoric and lines up EU as well calling trade deficit an ‘atrocity’. Contagion ensues in risk, yield rise, BTC…
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Option plays for Microsoft (MSFT) earnings and beyond
I am thinking of doing a study channel or AMA for people who want to ask questions about option trading (I have been doing this professionally since 1986) but if you regards are interested in that then DM me, if there is interest then I will do it…. Anyway, on with Microsoft… Chart doesnt look…
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Option plays for Tesla (TSLA) and beyond
After they put out their sales disaster we were pretty bearish and suggested 2 trades, the July 140/150/160 put fly for 95 cents which is now $1.05 and the August 100/115ps for $1.45 which is now $2.40, (both including costs)… IT is still not looking healthy and with a weak looking S&P I can see…
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Option plays for Netflix (NFLX) earnings and beyond
So this Thursday we have Netflix once again….did David Benioff and D.B. Weiss’ adaptation of the Three Body Problem, boost or hurt the streaming giant…. a grind higher but are we about to move? After the previous jump after earnings we have been slowly grinding higher (last time out we got in and out of…
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Option plays for Blackrock (BLK) earnings and beyond
Blackrock…with quite a lot of analysts still considering this stock a buy, we should be able to look at 2 scenarios for this given the chart is looking a bit tired But lets start off with the downside I like the put fly that comes in at the top of the vanilla list In at…